Combined preoperative serological and imaging examinations in predicting survival benefits of patients after radical resection of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Department of General Surgery, Xinhua Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200092, China;2.Department of Oncology, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai 200030, China;3.Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710061, China;4.Department of Biliary Tract Surgery, Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Naval Medical University, Shanghai 200433, China;5.Center of Liver Surgery and Liver Transplantation, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China;6.Department of Hepatobiliary Oncology, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Hospital, Tianjin 300060, China;7.Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, the First Affiliated Hospital of Army Medical University, Chongqing 400038, China;8.Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital, Changsha 410005, China;9.Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450052, China;10.Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China;11.Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong, Sichuan 637000, China;12.Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310020, China;13.Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, Shandong 266003, China;14.Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, the Second Norman Bethune Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun 130041, China;15.Department of General Surgery, the Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 528403, China

Clc Number:

R735.8

Fund Project:

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Related
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Materials
  • |
  • Comments
    Abstract:

    Background and Aims Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is characterized by its insidious onset and high invasiveness, often resulting in patients losing the optimal timing for surgery upon diagnosis, leading to poor 5-year survival rates following surgery. Early prediction of survival benefits from radical resection is crucial. This study was performed to predict survival benefits in ICC patients undergoing radical resection based on preoperative imaging and serum markers to provide guidance and references for clinical decisions regarding the suitability of radical resection.Methods The imaging and serological data of 821 ICC patients who underwent radical resection in 13 tertiary-grade A-class hospitals in China from January 2010 to December 2021 were retrospectively collected. Imaging data included the presence of liver mass, intrahepatic bile duct dilation, portal vein invasion, lymph node invasion, ascites, and stones. Serum markers had hemoglobin, white blood cell count, lymphocyte count, neutrophil count, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), CA125, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), total bilirubin (TBIL), albumin (ALB), and prothrombin time (PT). Target variables were selected through univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis, and using these variables, a CoxPH model was constructed, and a nomogram was also visualized. Survival curves were plotted using Kaplan-Meier analysis to validate the relationship between the scores and patient outcomes. The model's predictive performance was assessed through receiver operating characteristics (ROC) and calibration curves.Results The independent prognostic factors were imaging indicators of ascites, intrahepatic bile duct dilation, lymph node invasion, and serum markers with CEA >5 μg/L, CA19-9 >37 U/mL, and CA125 >40 U/mL (all P<0.05). The CoxPH model built using the 6 variables demonstrated that patients in the high-risk group identified by the model had significantly lower 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates compared to the low-risk group (all P<0.05). The model exhibited good discrimination and effectiveness through the constructed nomogram. ROC curves showed that the area under the curve (AUC) for the model's predictions at 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.711, 0.721, and 0.782, respectively, surpassing the predictive efficacy of individual markers.Conclusion The prognostic model composed of preoperative CA125, ascites, intrahepatic bile duct dilation, lymph node invasion, CEA, and CA19-9 effectively stratifies patients into high- and low-risk groups and provides accurate individualized predictions of survival benefits following radical resection in ICC patients. This model offers guidance for clinical decisions regarding the suitability of radical resection.

    Reference
    Related
    Cited by
Get Citation

CHEN Jialu, YU Xiaopeng, TANG Yue, CHEN Chen, QIU Yinghe, WU Hong, SONG Tianqiang, HE Yu, MAO Xianhai, ZHAI Wenlong, CHENG Zhangjun, LI Jingdong, LIANG Xiao, SUN Chuandong, MA Kai, LIN Ruixin, TANG Di, GENG Zhimin, TANG Zhaohui, QUAN Zhiwei. Combined preoperative serological and imaging examinations in predicting survival benefits of patients after radical resection of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma[J]. Chin J Gen Surg,2023,32(8):1156-1166.
DOI:10.7659/j. issn.1005-6947.2023.08.004

Copy
Share
Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
History
  • Received:May 30,2023
  • Revised:August 10,2023
  • Adopted:
  • Online: November 03,2023
  • Published: