P-POSSUM评分系统预测60岁以上肝癌患者手术风险的价值
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姜青峰 E-mail:jiangqingfeng371@163.com

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Value of P-POSSUM scoring system for predicting the risks of hepatectomy for liver cancer in patients more than 60 years of age
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    摘要:

    目的:探讨P-POSSUM评分系统对预测60岁以上老年患者肝癌切除术风险的价值。
    方法:对4年间接受肝癌切除术年龄>60岁的382例肝癌患者的临床资料回顾性分析,应用P-POSSUM评分系统评分计算并发症和病死率,并与同期≤60岁的649例患者进行比较。
    结果:P-POSSUM评分系统预测>60岁老年组的并发症发生率为43.71%(167/382),病死率为7.59%(29/382),而实际发生的并发症为38.22%(146/382),病死率为4.97%(19/382)(均P>0.05)。而对≤60岁组的并发症率和病死率预测率均显著高于实际发生率(均P<0.05)。
    结论:围手术期P-POSSUM评分系统能较准确地预测老年肝癌患者术后并发症发生率和手术病死率;该系统可用于临床指导>60岁患者的围手术期处理。

    Abstract:

    Objective:To evaluate the clinical importance of P-POSSUM scoring system in predicting the risks of hepatectomy for liver cancer in patients over 60 years of age.
    Methods:The clinical data of 382 patients over the age of 60 undergoing hepatectomy from January 2006 to December 2009 in our hospital were retrospectively analyzed. The predictive postoperative complication incidence and death were calculated with modified POSSUM (P-POSSUM) scoring system and the results were compared with those of the patients under 60 years of age operated at the same period.
    Results:Of the patients over 60 years of age, the predictive complication incidence and death estimated by P-POSSUM scoring system was 43.71% (167/382) and 7.59% (29/382), and the actual complication incidence and death was 38.22% (146/382) and 4.97% (19/382), respectively (P>0.05). In contrast, the predictive complication incidence and death were both higher than those of actual data (P<0.05) in patients under 60 years of age.
    Conclusions: P-POSSUM scoring system is valid for prediction of the postoperative complication incidence and mortality in the elderly patients undergiong hepatectomy, and this system can be used to guide perioperative management of patients over the age of 60.

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李珂| 薛焕洲| 王亚东| 姜青峰| 申权| 张晓. P-POSSUM评分系统预测60岁以上肝癌患者手术风险的价值[J].中国普通外科杂志,2011,20(7):691-695.
DOI:10.7659/j. issn.1005-6947.2011.07.008

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  • 收稿日期:2011-01-30
  • 最后修改日期:2011-07-11
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  • 在线发布日期: 2011-07-15