系统免疫炎症指数与胰腺癌患者预后关系的系统评价和Meta分析
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汤礼军,Email: tanglj2016@qq.com;孙红玉,Email: shongyu2008@163.com

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国家临床重点专科建设基金资助项目(41792113)。


Prognostic value of the systemic immune-inflammation index in patients with pancreatic cancer: a systematic review and Meta-analysis
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    摘要:

    背景与目的:目前系统免疫炎症指数(SII)与胰腺癌患者预后的关系存在争议,亦无大样本、多中心研究予以证实。本研究采用Meta分析方法,系统地探讨SII对胰腺癌的预后意义,以期为改善患者预后和个体化治疗提供证据。
    方法:计算机检索多个国内外数据库,收集公开发表的关于SII 与胰腺癌预后关系的研究,检索时间均为建库至2020年3月。由2名研究者独立筛选文献、提取资料并评价纳入研究的偏倚风险后,采用Stata 12.0软件进行Meta分析。
    结果:共纳入5项队列研究,总计3 086例患者。Meta分析结果显示,高SII胰腺癌患者总体生存期(OS)缩短(HR=1.26,95% CI=1.13~1.40,P<0.001)、癌症特异性生存期(CSS)较差(HR=2.32,95% CI=1.55~3.48,P<0.001),而SII与胰腺癌患者的无病生存期(DFS)无明显关系(HR=1.27,95% CI=0.95~1.70,P<0.106)。亚组分析发现,SII临界值≥600时,高SII与OS缩短有关(HR=1.39,95% CI=1.14~1.69,P=0.001),而SII临界值<600时,SII与OS无明显关系(HR=1.22,95% CI= 0.97~1.54,P=0.089)。来自奥地利与美国的研究显示SII较高与OS缩短有关(HR=1.40,95% CI= 1.07~1.84,P=0.016;HR=1.37,95% CI=1.02~1.84,P=0.004),而中国的研究显示SII与OS无明显关系(HR=1.22,95% CI=0.97~1.54,P=0.089)。手术治疗与非手术治疗的患者高SII均与OS缩短有关(HR=1.40,95% CI=1.07~1.84,P=0.004;HR=1.38,95% CI=1.18~1.61,P<0.001),而混合治疗患者中SII与OS无明显关系(HR=1.09,95% CI=0.92~1.29,P=0.303)。无论AJCC I~III期还是III~IV期患者,高SII均与OS缩短有关(HR=1.39,95% CI=1.14~1.69,P<0.001;HR=1.38,95% CI= 1.14~1.66,P<0.001);无论是治疗前或治疗后,高SII均与OS缩短有关(HR=1.39,95% CI=1.19~1.62,P<0.001;HR=1.37,95% CI=1.02~1.84,P=0.037)。此外,SII、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值、血小板与淋巴细胞比值对胰腺癌患者的OS有预测作用,而CA19-9对OS无预测作用;以上4种指标对DFS均无预测作用,而对CSS有预测作用。
    结论:SII较高可能是胰腺癌患者预后不良的独立危险因素。受研究数量与质量限制,上述结论尚待更多高质量研究予以验证。

    Abstract:

    Background and Aims: The relationship between systemic immune index (SII) and prognosis in patients with pancreatic cancer is controversial at present, and there are also no large sample multi-center studies to provide confirmation. This study was conducted to systematically explore the prognostic significance of SII in pancreatic cancer by Meta-analysis, so as to provide evidence for improving patients’ prognosis and individualized treatment. 
    Methods: A computer-based searching was conducted in several national and international databases, and the publicly published studies on the relationship between SII and the prognosis of pancreatic cancer were collected. The retrieval time was from inception to March 2020. After literature screening, data extraction and bias risk evaluation by two independent reviewers, Meta-analysis was conducted using Stata 12.0 software.
    Results: Five cohort studies were included involving a total of 3 086 patients. Results of Meta-analysis showed that the overall survival (OS) was shortened (HR=1.26, 95% CI=1.13–1.40, P<0.001) and the cancer-specific survival (CSS) was poor (HR=2.232, 95% CI=1.55–3.48, P<0.001) in pancreatic cancer patients with high SII, while SII had no significant relation with the disease-free survival (DFS) of pancreatic cancer patients (HR=1.27, 95% CI=0.95–1.70, P<0.106). Subgroup analysis found that high SII was associated with shortened OS (HR=1.39, 95% CI=1.14–1.69, P=0.001) when the threshold value of SII was greater than or equal to 600, and was irrelevant to OS (HR=1.22, 95% CI=0.97–1.54, P=0.089) when the threshold value of SII was less than 600. High SII was associated with shorter OS as evidenced by studies from Austria and the United States (HR=1.40, 95% CI=1.07–1.84, P=0.016; HR=1.37, 95% CI=1.02–1.84, P=0.004), but was unrelated to OS as demonstrated by studies from China (HR=1.22, 95% CI=0.97–1.54, P=0.089). High SII was related to the shortened OS in patients undergoing surgical treatment and non-surgical treatment (HR=1.40, 95% CI=1.07–1.84, P=0.004; HR=1.38, 95% CI=1.18–1.61, P<0.001), but was not associated with OS in those undergoing mixed treatment (HR=1.09, 95% CI=0.92–1.29, P=0.303). High SII was connected to shortened OS in patients with either AJCC stage I-III or III-IV disease (HR=1.39, 95% CI=1.14–1.69, P<0.001; HR=1.38, 95% CI=1.14–1.66, P<0.001), and high SII was relevant to shortened OS in patients either before or after treatment (HR=1.39, 95% CI=1.19–1.62, P<0.001; HR=1.37, 95% CI=1.02–1.84, P=0.037). In addition, SII, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio had a predictive effect on OS in pancreatic cancer patients, while CA19-9 did not. None of the above 4 factors had predictive effect on DFS, but all had predictive effect on CSS.
    Conclusion: High SII may be an independent risk factor for poor prognosis in pancreatic cancer patients. Limited by the quantity and quality of the studies, the above conclusion needs to be verified by more high-quality studies.

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周发权, 陈师, 孙红玉, 汤礼军.系统免疫炎症指数与胰腺癌患者预后关系的系统评价和Meta分析[J].中国普通外科杂志,2020,29(9):1076-1083.
DOI:10.7659/j. issn.1005-6947.2020.09.007

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  • 收稿日期:2020-06-08
  • 最后修改日期:2020-08-19
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  • 在线发布日期: 2020-09-25