术前淋巴细胞与C反应蛋白比值在预测胆囊癌术后复发中的应用及其临床价值
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1.福建医科大学福总临床医学院,福建 福州 350025;2.中国人民解放军联勤保障部队第九〇〇医院 2. 普通外科 3. 肝胆外科,福建 福州 350025

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程杨,中国人民解放军联勤保障部队第九〇〇医院硕士研究生,主要从事肝胆外科方面的研究(

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中国人民解放军联勤保障部队第九〇〇医院院立课题基金资助项目(2021MS21)。


Application of preoperative lymphocyte to C-reactive protein ratio in predicting postoperative recurrence of gallbladder cancer and its clinical value
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1.Fuzong Clinical Medical College, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou 350025, China;2.Department of General Surgery 3. Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, the No. 900 Hospital, Joint Logistics Support Force of the Chinese People's Liberation Army, Fuzhou 350025, China

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    摘要:

    背景与目的 系统性炎症与大多数恶性肿瘤的发生发展密切相关,炎症相关评分的研究为改善癌症患者风险分层和患者预后提供了有效的预测信息。但目前尚缺乏关于炎症评分与胆囊癌(GBC)患者术后复发风险关系的研究。因此,本研究探讨术前淋巴细胞计数与C反应蛋白(CRP)比值(LCR)与胆囊癌患者术后复发的关系,并建立预测GBC术后复发风险的列线图模型。方法 回顾性分析中国人民解放军联勤保障部队第九〇〇医院2009年5月—2021年12月接受手术治疗的103例GBC患者的临床资料,绘制LCR预测术后复发的受试者工作特征曲线(ROC),确定最佳临床临界值。根据临界值将GBC患者分为高LCR组和低LCR组,分析两组患者临床病理特征的差异及影响患者术后复发的危险因素,并根据危险因素的回归系数绘制相应的GBC患者术后复发的列线图预测模型,并通过校准曲线及一致性曲线进行验证。Kaplan-Meier法绘制生存曲线,并用Log-rank检验比较两组患者的总生存时间(OS)和无复发生存时间(RFS)的差异。结果 术前LCR预测GBC患者术后复发的ROC曲线下面积为0.681(95% CI=0.560~0.802,P<0.05),最佳临界值为0.275。单因素分析结果显示,两组在T分期、淋巴结转移、手术方式、是否联合肝切除、是否联合胆总管切除、切缘是否阴性、CA19-9、CEA、CA125及LCR方面差异有统计学意义(均P<0.05);多因素Logistic分析显示,T分期、CA19-9及LCR是胆囊癌患者术后复发的独立危险因素(均P<0.05);综合以上危险因素构建列线图的C指数为0.736,校准曲线提示,列线图预测的复发概率与实际的复发情况具有良好的一致性。Kaplan-Meier生存曲线分析结果显示,高LCR组患者的术后OS和RFS明显优于低LCR组患者(均P<0.001)。结论 LCR可以作为预测GBC患者术后复发的新型指标,术前外周血LCR越高,患者复发风险越低;以此为基础构建的列线图预测模型有助于临床医生对GBC患者提供更好的个体化治疗方案和随访策略。

    Abstract:

    Background and Aims Systemic inflammation is closely associated with the development of most malignant tumors. Studies of inflammation-related scores provide valid predictive information for improving the risk stratification and prognosis of patients with cancer. However, the studies to evaluate the relationship between inflammation scores and the risk of postoperative relapse in patients with gallbladder cancer (GBC) are limited. Therefore, this study was conducted to investigate the relationship between preoperative lymphocyte to C-reactive protein (CRP) ratio (LCR) and postoperative recurrence in GBC patients and establish a nomogram model to predict the risk of postoperative recurrence of GBC.Methods The clinical data of 103 patients with GBC who received surgical treatment from May 2009 to December 2021 in the No. 900 Hospital, Joint Logistics Support Force of the Chinese People's Liberation Army were retrospectively analyzed. A receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) of LCR for predicting postoperative recurrence was drawn, and the optimal cut-off value was determined. Based on the cut-off value, the patients were divided into high LCR group and low LCR group. The differences in clinicopathologic characteristics between the two groups of patients were analyzed, and the risk factors for postoperative recurrence were determined. According to the regression coefficient of risk factors, the corresponding nomogram prediction model of postoperative recurrence in GBC patients was created and validated by calibration curve and consistency index. Survival curves were drawn by the Kaplan-Meier method, and the differences in overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) between two groups of patients were compared by Log-rank test.Results The area under the ROC curve of preoperative LCR for predicting postoperative recurrence in GBC patients was 0.681 (95% CI=0.560-0.802, P<0.05) and the cut-off value was 0.275. Results of the univariate analysis showed differences in T stage, lymphnode metastasis, surgical procedure, combined hepatectomy or not, combined choledochotomy or not, surgical margin, CA19-9, CEA, CA125 and LCR between the two groups (all P<0.05). Multivariate Logistic analysis showed that T stage, CA19-9 and LCR were independent risk factors for postoperative recurrence in GBC patients (all P<0.05). The C-index of the nomogram established by integrating the risk factors was 0.736, and the calibration curve indicated that the probability of recurrence predicted by the nomogram was in good agreement with the actual observation. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the OS and RFS of patients in the high LCR group were significantly higher than those of patents in the low LCR group (both P<0.001).Conclusion LCR can be used as a new indicator for predicting the postoperative recurrence of GBC patients. The higher the preoperative peripheral blood LCR, the lower the risk of recurrence in patients. The nomogram prediction model constructed on this basis will help clinicians provide better information on individualized treatment and follow-up strategies for GBC patients.

    图1 LCR预测GBC患者术后复发的ROC曲线Fig.1 ROC curve of LCR for predicting postoperative recurrence in GBC patients
    图2 GBC患者术后复发概率的列线图预测模型及预测模型校准曲线 A:GBC患者术后复发概率的列线图预测模型;B:预测模型校准曲线Fig.2 Nomogram prediction model and calibration curve of postoperative recurrence probability in patients with GBC A: Nomogram prediction model of postoperative recurrence probability in patients with GBC; B: Calibration curve of the nomogram prediction model
    图3 不同LCR水平GBC患者的术后Kaplan-Meier生存曲线 A:OS;B:RFSFig.3 Kaplan-Meier survival curves of patients with different LCR values A: OS; B: RFS
    表 2 影响GBC患者术后复发的单因素、多因素Logistic回归模型分析Table 2 Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression model analysis of influencing factors for postoperative recurrence in GBC patients
    表 1 低LCR组与高LCR组临床病理特征比较[n(%)]Table 1 Comparison of the clinicopathologic features between low LCR group and high LCR group [n (%)]
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程杨,陈小彬,魏志鸿,陈剑伟,彭翔宇,谢云军,杨芳.术前淋巴细胞与C反应蛋白比值在预测胆囊癌术后复发中的应用及其临床价值[J].中国普通外科杂志,2023,32(2):190-199.
DOI:10.7659/j. issn.1005-6947.2023.02.004

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  • 收稿日期:2022-09-19
  • 最后修改日期:2023-01-30
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-03-02