腹腔镜胆总管切开取石一期缝合术治疗急性梗阻性化脓性胆管炎的临床疗效及术后胆汁漏预测模型构建
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甘肃省武威市人民医院 普外一科,甘肃 武威 733000

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梁育岑,甘肃省武威市人民医院副主任医师,主要从事肝胆胰外科、微创外科方面的研究。

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2024年度武威市市级科技计划自筹经费资助项目 WW24B01SF0522024年度武威市市级科技计划自筹经费资助项目(WW24B01SF052)。


Clinical efficacy of laparoscopic common bile duct exploration with primary suture for acute obstructive suppurative cholangitis and construction of a prediction model for postoperative bile leakage
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Department of General Surgery I, Wuwei People's Hospital, Wuwei, Gansu 733000, China

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    摘要:

    背景与目的 急性梗阻性化脓性胆管炎(AOSC)起病急、进展快,病情严重,及时解除胆道梗阻是治疗的关键。随着腹腔镜技术的发展,腹腔镜胆总管探查术(LCBDE)已成为胆总管结石外科治疗的重要术式,取石后可采用一期缝合(PS)或T管引流(TD),但两种胆总管切口处理方式在AOSC中的临床疗效及安全性仍存在一定争议。尤其是胆汁漏作为LCBDE联合PS术后较为重要的并发症之一,可能影响患者术后恢复。因此,识别其危险因素并进行风险分层具有重要临床意义。本研究旨在比较LCBDE联合PS与LCBDE联合TD治疗AOSC的临床疗效,分析LCBDE联合PS术后胆汁漏的相关因素,并构建胆汁漏风险预测模型,为术式选择及术后风险评估提供参考。方法 回顾性分析2023年1月—2025年12月甘肃省武威市人民医院收治的186例AOSC患者的临床资料,其中,96例行LCBDE联合PS治疗(LCBDE-PS组),90例行LCBDE联合TD治疗(LCBDE-TD组)。比较两组围手术期指标、术后并发症及术后5个月结石复发情况。进一步将LCBDE-PS组患者根据术后是否发生胆汁漏分为胆汁漏组(11例)和无胆汁漏组(85例),比较两组临床资料及实验室指标,采用多因素Logistic回归分析LCBDE联合PS术后胆汁漏的独立影响因素,并据此构建列线图预测模型。采用Hosmer-Lemeshow拟合优度检验、受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线及临床决策曲线分析(DCA)评价模型的拟合度、判别能力及临床净获益。结果 LCBDE-PS组手术时间、术中出血量、引流管留置时间、腹腔总引流量及术后住院时间均低于LCBDE-TD组(均P<0.05),两组术后并发症发生率及随访期间结石复发率比较,差异均无统计学意义(均P>0.05)。LCBDE-PS组中,胆汁漏组术前直接胆红素水平及手术时间高于无胆汁漏组,而术前白蛋白水平及胆总管直径低于无胆汁漏组(均P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析显示,胆总管直径增大(OR=0.658,95% CI=0.505~0.857,P=0.002)及术前白蛋白水平升高(OR=0.719,95% CI=0.550~0.940,P=0.016)与术后胆汁漏风险降低相关;术前直接胆红素水平升高(OR=1.435,95% CI=1.161~1.773,P=0.001)及手术时间延长(OR=2.037,95% CI=1.092~3.799,P=0.025)与术后胆汁漏风险升高相关。基于上述4项因素构建的列线图模型具有较好的拟合度;ROC曲线下面积(AUC)为0.949(95% CI=0.901~0.997),敏感度为90.91%,特异度为89.41%。DCA显示,阈值概率在0.03~0.96范围内应用该模型可获得高于全部干预和全部不干预策略的净获益。结论 与LCBDE联合TD相比,LCBDE联合PS治疗AOSC可缩短手术时间和术后住院时间,减少术中出血量、引流管留置时间及腹腔总引流量,且未增加术后并发症及近期结石复发风险。胆总管直径、术前白蛋白、术前直接胆红素及手术时间与LCBDE联合PS术后胆汁漏发生相关,据此构建的列线图具有较好的预测效能和潜在临床应用价值,可为LCBDE联合PS术后胆汁漏风险分层提供参考。

    Abstract:

    Background and Aims Acute obstructive suppurative cholangitis (AOSC) is a severe biliary tract infection characterized by rapid onset and progression, for which timely relief of biliary obstruction is essential. With the development of laparoscopic techniques, laparoscopic common bile duct exploration (LCBDE) has become an important surgical approach for common bile duct stones. After stone extraction, primary suture (PS) or T-tube drainage (TD) can be used to manage the common bile duct incision; however, the clinical efficacy and safety of these two approaches in patients with AOSC remain incompletely defined. In particular, postoperative bile leakage is an important complication of LCBDE-PS that may adversely affect postoperative recovery. Therefore, identification of its risk factors and risk stratification are of clinical importance. This study aimed to compare the clinical efficacy of LCBDE plus PS and LCBDE plus TD in patients with AOSC, identify factors associated with postoperative bile leakage after LCBDE plus PS, and develop a prediction model for postoperative bile leakage to provide a reference for surgical decision-making and postoperative risk assessment.Methods The clinical data of 186 patients with AOSC admitted to Wuwei People's Hospital from January 2023 to December 2025 were retrospectively analyzed. Among them, 96 patients underwent LCBDE with primary suture (LCBDE-PS group), while 90 underwent LCBDE with T-tube drainage (LCBDE-TD group). Perioperative outcomes, postoperative complications, and stone recurrence at 5 months after surgery were compared between the two groups. Patients in the LCBDE-PS group were further divided into a bile leakage group (n=11) and a non-bile leakage group (n=85) according to the occurrence of postoperative bile leakage. Clinical and laboratory parameters were compared between the two groups. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent factors associated with postoperative bile leakage after LCBDE-PS, and a nomogram prediction model was subsequently constructed. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the model's goodness of fit, discriminative ability, and clinical net benefit, respectively.Results Compared with the LCBDE-TD group, the LCBDE-PS group had shorter operative time, less intraoperative blood loss, shorter drainage-tube indwelling time, lower total abdominal drainage volume, and shorter postoperative hospital stay (all P<0.05). No significant differences were observed between the two groups in the incidence of postoperative complications or stone recurrence during follow-up (all P>0.05). Within the LCBDE-PS group, patients with bile leakage had higher preoperative direct bilirubin levels and longer operative times, but lower preoperative albumin levels and smaller common bile duct diameters than those without bile leakage (all P<0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that a larger common bile duct diameter (OR=0.658, 95% CI=0.505-0.857, P=0.002) and higher preoperative albumin level (OR=0.719, 95% CI=0.550-0.940, P=0.016) were associated with a lower risk of postoperative bile leakage, whereas higher preoperative direct bilirubin level (OR=1.435, 95% CI=1.161-1.773, P=0.001) and longer operative time (OR=2.037, 95% CI=1.092-3.799, P=0.025) were associated with an increased risk. The nomogram incorporating these four factors showed good model fit. The area under the ROC curve was 0.949 (95% CI=0.901-0.997), with a sensitivity of 90.91% and specificity of 89.41%. DCA indicated a positive net clinical benefit of the model across a threshold probability range of 0.03-0.96.Conclusion Compared with LCBDE plus TD, LCBDE plus PS may provide favorable perioperative outcomes for patients with AOSC without increasing postoperative complications or short-term stone recurrence. Common bile duct diameter, preoperative albumin level, preoperative direct bilirubin level, and operative time were associated with postoperative bile leakage after LCBDE plus PS. The nomogram based on these factors showed good discriminative performance and may assist in postoperative risk stratification for bile leakage.

    图1 LCBDE联合PS术后胆汁漏发生的列线图预测模型Fig.1 Nomogram for predicting postoperative bile leakage after LCBDE plus PS
    图2 LCBDE联合PS术后胆汁漏预测模型的验证与临床效能评价 A:Hosmer-Lemeshow拟合优度检验;B:ROC曲线;C:DCA曲线Fig.2 Validation and clinical utility of the prediction model for postoperative bile leakage after LCBDE plus PS A: Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test; B: ROC curve; C: DCA curve
    表 3 两组术后并发症及随访结果比较[n(%)]Table 3 Comparison of postoperative complications and follow-up outcomes between the two groups [n(%)]
    表 5 LCBDE联合PS术后胆汁漏预测模型变量赋值Table 5 Assignment of variables included in the prediction model for postoperative bile leakage after LCBDE plus PS
    表 6 LCBDE联合PS术后胆汁漏发生风险的多因素Logistic回归分析Table 6 Multivariate Logistic regression analysis of factors associated with postoperative bile leakage after LCBDE plus PS
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梁育岑,张宏龙,王国强,秦文科,王洪涛.腹腔镜胆总管切开取石一期缝合术治疗急性梗阻性化脓性胆管炎的临床疗效及术后胆汁漏预测模型构建[J].中国普通外科杂志,2026,35(8):1563-1572.
DOI:10.7659/j. issn.1005-6947.260385

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  • 收稿日期:2026-06-30
  • 最后修改日期:2026-08-20
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-09-29
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